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The push pushes India to 'pivot' towards the US 3
This week, clashes between Chinese and Indian soldiers in the Galwan valley, Ladakh region, where both claim sovereignty, left dozens of soldiers injured, of whom 20 Indian soldiers were killed.
In an editorial on June 17, Indian newspaper Hindustan Times said that `China wants to contain New Delhi’s power and ambitions, it wants India to accept Beijing’s dominance in Asia and beyond
The newspaper called on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government to promote `partnership with the US, strengthen the Quad Security Dialogue (Quad) and join any grouping to curb China’s power`.
US President Trump (left) and Indian Prime Minister Modi in New Delhi in February.
The Quad Security Dialogue is an informal strategic forum for the US, Japan, Australia and India, with summits, information exchanges and military exercises.
China has long been wary of this forum.
Not only stopping at the Quad, in the phone call earlier this month between Modi and Trump, the US leader also invited India to participate in the upcoming G7 summit.
Trump once raised the idea of expanding the G7 to include more allies such as Australia and South Korea, as well as using this year’s G7 meeting to `discuss China’s future`.
India has always been concerned about getting too close to the US, so it has always sought to balance its relationship with the US and China.
Greater Indian participation in the Quad and other military alliances with the US will benefit Washington, according to foreign affairs analyst Amrita Jash.
Both New Delhi and Beijing have expressed their hope to de-escalate tensions and preserve peaceful relations after this week’s border clash, but many experts doubt the feasibility or sustainability of this.
Aidan Milliff, an expert on political violence and South Asia at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, predicts that the India-China situation could evolve in the same direction as India-Pakistan: persistent, low-level conflict, crisis
Beijing and New Delhi’s already shaky relationship has been affected by Covid-19, with many in India blaming China for mistakes in the initial handling of the epidemic, while officials
However, it is likely that India will only pivot to the Quad or the US when New Delhi believes that relations with Beijing cannot be saved, because both India and China could suffer damage from this move.
Under Modi, India-China economic ties are growing.
Before Covid-19, China gradually emerged as an important foreign investor in the Indian market, but that trend was halted by new investment regulations passed by New Delhi, which were considered to
Economic pain is not the only thing the two sides will suffer if they turn their backs on each other.
China has close economic, diplomatic and military ties with Pakistan, making it one of the closest allies in the region.
China is increasing its diplomatic and economic influence with countries that are within New Delhi’s sphere of influence, including Nepal, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh.
In particular, Nepal’s willingness to cooperate with China makes India worried that the two countries may have hidden geopolitical agreements.
The border dispute is one of the issues causing tension in the region.